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A New Intifada: Economy

Scenario Analysis

A New Intifada: Economy

by Tareq Sadeq on November 21, 2022

The concept of a localized resistance economy can unite communities around collective resistance. However, bridging the gap between different actors in different communities and across different social classes necessitates a larger framework.

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Scenario Analysis

Abrupt Change in Leadership: Education

by Mohammed Al-Rozzi on 

The vacancy of the president’s office or holding of legislative elections are not likely to lead to fundamental changes in the education sector, so long as the status quo persists. This is because the persistence of the status quo is contingent on the interests of PA forces, international actors, and the Israeli regime.

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Scenario Analysis

Collapse of the PA: Political Overview

by Belal Shobaki on 

The collapse of the PA assumes that all internal factors driving popular action against its policies would continue. It further assumes that the popular movement would call for the PA’s dismantlement due to its cumulative failures to address the many issues affecting the daily lives of Palestinians.

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Scenario Analysis

Continuation of the Status Quo: Political Overview

by Belal Shobaki on 

The status quo is nothing but a transitional stage hindering the necessary transformations to the PA, the PLO, and Palestinians at large. However, the longer this scenario persists, the more probable its enabling factors become catalysts for the other scenarios.

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Scenario Analysis

Abrupt Leadership Change: Economy

by Tareq Sadeq on 

A new and democratic legislative council would require freeing the Palestinian economy from that of Israel’s. It would require adopting a participatory and transparent approach in the preparation of the annual general budget, and it would necessitate distribution of financial resources in accordance with the needs and aspirations of the Palestinian people. Further analysis on this intersection is not available at this time.

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Scenario Analysis

A New Intifada: Education

by Mohammed Al-Rozzi on 

In the case of an uprising, the focus of the education sector may shift to popular education, equipping revolutionaries with the political and strategic skills and tools needed to confront settler-colonial oppressors — skills and tools that align with a larger vision for liberation.

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Scenario Analysis

Revival of the PLO: Education

by Mohammed Al-Rozzi on 

The revival of the PLO’s educational institutions represents an opportunity to improve the quality of Palestinians’ education, wherever they may be, by allowing them to create new educational departments and programs that reflect their specific political and social realities.

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Scenario Analysis

Abrupt Leadership Change: Society

by Jamil Hilal on 

It is necessary to rebuild a representative Palestinian national body through consensus in order to reinvigorate resistance. The national body must be made up of democratic intuitions, movements, and associations that represent the different components of Palestinian society in order to unify them in collective action. Further analysis on this intersection is not available at this time.

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Scenario Analysis

Collapse of the PA: Economy

by Tareq Sadeq on 

The collapse of the PA would deepen the economic divide between the West Bank and Gaza, and would instantly put 140,000 public-sector employees out of work. The implications of this collapse cannot be overstated.

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Scenario Analysis

Continuation of the Status Quo: Economy

by Tareq Sadeq on 

In light of the continuing decline of the productive sectors and dominance of the trade sector by corrupt Palestinian elite, middle-class workers are getting poorer, supplying their labor to the Israeli market or the trade sector. These workers are increasingly subjugated to the Israeli system of control, and will continue to be so long as the status quo persists.

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